Serie A, round 9 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Frosinone — Lecce
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Frosinone are slightly stronger: 44% against 25%, draw 31%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Frosinone are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Frosinone — Lecce What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Frosinone not to lose | 75% | |
| Lecce not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Frosinone
- Frosinone goals
- Lecce goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Napoli0:3
- 20.09Como2:0
- 12.09away · Genoa1:1
- 06.09Venezia3:2
- 02.09away · Sassuolo1:1
Head to head
- 03.03.2024Frosinone — Lecce1:1
- 16.12.2023Lecce — Frosinone2:1
- 02.04.2022Lecce — Frosinone1:0
- 20.11.2021Frosinone — Lecce0:0
Table
Serie A on the same day
- FiorentinaAtalantapreliminary342937XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →