Serie A, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Frosinone — Torino

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Model prediction for 1 November

Frosinone32%
Draw32%
Torino36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Frosinone 32%, Torino 36%, draw 32%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Torino are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frosinone — Torino What is xG?1.4–1.4
Frosinone not to lose64%
Torino not to lose68%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes61%
Both teams to score: no39%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Frosinone
  • Frosinone goals
  • Torino goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Frosinone

  • 10.10away · Napoli0:3
  • 20.09Como2:0
  • 12.09away · Genoa1:1
  • 06.09Venezia3:2
  • 02.09away · Sassuolo1:1

Torino

  • 12.10Udinese2:1
  • 19.09away · Bologna1:1
  • 14.09Roma0:2
  • 05.09away · Fiorentina2:1
  • 01.09Monza0:1

Head to head

  • 21.04.2024Torino — Frosinone0:0
  • 10.12.2023Frosinone — Torino0:0
  • 02.11.2023Torino — Frosinone1:2
  • 10.03.2019Frosinone — Torino1:2

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8Napoli631210–6+410
9Frosinone63129–7+210
10Atalanta63038–809
11Sassuolo622210–1008
12Torino62137–9-27
13Lecce62046–12-66

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie A on the same day

  • ComoVeneziapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
  • LazioCagliaripreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • LecceGenoapreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
  • JuventusNapolipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →