Serie A, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Como — Venezia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Como are clear favourites: 73% against 8% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Como are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Como — Venezia What is xG? | 2.3–0.8 | |
| Como not to lose | 92% | |
| Venezia not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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- Venezia goals
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Form
- 12.10away · Atalanta1:3
- 19.09Lazio0:2
- 11.09Fiorentina2:4
- 06.09away · Frosinone2:3
- 02.09away · Udinese1:2
Head to head
- 08.03.2025Como — Venezia1:1
- 08.12.2024Venezia — Como2:2
- 03.03.2024Como — Venezia2:1
- 20.08.2023Venezia — Como3:0
- 01.04.2023Venezia — Como3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Juventus | 6 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 19, Relegation | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
| 20, Relegation | Venezia | 6 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
Serie A on the same day
- FrosinoneTorinopreliminary323236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- LazioCagliaripreliminary5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- LecceGenoapreliminary273340XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
- JuventusNapolipreliminary5127211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →