Swedish Allsvenskan, round 25 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

GAIS — IFK Göteborg

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Model prediction for 25 October

GAIS50%
Draw26%
IFK Göteborg25%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

GAIS are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings GAIS are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: GAIS — IFK Göteborg What is xG?1.7–1.2
GAIS not to lose75%
IFK Göteborg not to lose50%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes59%
Both teams to score: no41%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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Form

GAIS

  • 10.10Sirius0:1
  • 20.09away · Mjällby3:0
  • 14.09away · Djurgården0:2
  • 05.09Häcken0:0
  • 31.08Brommapojkarna4:0

IFK Göteborg

  • 09.10Västerås SK1:0
  • 19.09away · Brommapojkarna1:0
  • 12.09Halmstads BK2:1
  • 07.09away · Mjällby4:1
  • 30.08Örgryte1:0

Head to head

  • 26.04.2026IFK Göteborg — GAIS2:2
  • 11.08.2025GAIS — IFK Göteborg0:1
  • 28.04.2025IFK Göteborg — GAIS1:1
  • 30.09.2024IFK Göteborg — GAIS2:0
  • 06.05.2024GAIS — IFK Göteborg2:1

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Västerås SK23105834–36-235
8IFK Göteborg23105832–41-935
9AIK2396836–40-433
10GAIS2386928–21+730
11Brommapojkarna2386936–41-530

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • MjällbyHammarbypreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →