Turkish Super Lig, round 8 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Gençlerbirliği — Galatasaray
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In short
Galatasaray are clear favourites: 68% against 11% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Galatasaray are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Gençlerbirliği — No. 13, 8 pts; Galatasaray — No. 1, 16 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Gençlerbirliği: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Gençlerbirliği 1 win, Galatasaray 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Gençlerbirliği 7, Galatasaray 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gençlerbirliği — Galatasaray What is xG? | 1.0–2.3 | |
| Gençlerbirliği not to lose | 32% | |
| Galatasaray not to lose | 89% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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Form
- 10.10Amed Sportif2:2
- 19.09away · Başakşehir0:4
- 13.09Kasımpaşa1:2
- 06.09away · Trabzonspor0:5
- 28.08Erzurumspor FK1:1
- 13.10Barcelona1:4
- 09.10Kasımpaşa3:1
- 19.09away · Trabzonspor0:4
- 13.09Kocaelispor1:0
- 09.09away · Sporting CP1:3
Head to head
- 22.04.2026Galatasaray — Gençlerbirliği0:2
- 18.04.2026Gençlerbirliği — Galatasaray1:2
- 22.11.2025Galatasaray — Gençlerbirliği3:2
- 02.05.2021Gençlerbirliği — Galatasaray0:2
- 09.01.2021Galatasaray — Gençlerbirliği6:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
Super Lig on the same day
- 5729151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 771671The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →