La Liga, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Getafe — Sevilla
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Getafe are slightly stronger: 41% against 28%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 2.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Getafe — Sevilla What is xG? | 1.1–0.9 | |
| Getafe not to lose | 72% | |
| Sevilla not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 31% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 69% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Getafe
- Getafe goals
- Sevilla goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Barcelona0:3
- 20.09Málaga1:0
- 17.09away · Real Betis0:1
- 13.09Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 07.09Celta Vigo1:1
- 12.10away · Levante3:3
- 19.09Barcelona1:3
- 16.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:0
- 11.09Valencia1:0
- 06.09away · Espanyol1:1
Head to head
- 22.02.2026Getafe — Sevilla0:1
- 25.08.2025Sevilla — Getafe1:2
- 01.02.2025Getafe — Sevilla0:0
- 14.09.2024Sevilla — Getafe1:0
- 30.03.2024Getafe — Sevilla0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Champions League | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
La Liga on the same day
- Racing SantanderReal Madridpreliminary1318682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.9
- ElcheValenciapreliminary363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- Athletic ClubReal Sociedadpreliminary5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →