La Liga, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Racing Santander — Real Madrid
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 68% against 13% for the opponent, draw 18%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 75%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Madrid are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Racing Santander — Real Madrid What is xG? | 1.3–2.7 | |
| Racing Santander not to lose | 32% | |
| Real Madrid not to lose | 87% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 75% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 25% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Racing Santander
- Racing Santander goals
- Real Madrid goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Valencia2:2
- 19.09away · Celta Vigo0:5
- 16.09away · Barcelona2:7
- 12.09Deportivo Alavés2:1
- 05.09away · Rayo Vallecano2:3
- 10.10Villarreal1:0
- 20.09away · Atlético Madrid1:2
- 15.09away · Elche3:2
- 12.09Rayo Vallecano4:1
- 08.09Inter2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Champions League | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 4, Champions League | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
La Liga on the same day
- GetafeSevillapreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- ElcheValenciapreliminary363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- Athletic ClubReal Sociedadpreliminary5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →