Egyptian Premier League, round 7 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Ghazl Al Mahalla — Al Ittihad Alexandria
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Ghazl Al Mahalla 32%, Al Ittihad Alexandria 35%, draw 34%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Ittihad Alexandria are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Ghazl Al Mahalla — No. 20, 1 pt; Al Ittihad Alexandria — No. 5, 13 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Ghazl Al Mahalla: 3 defeats in a row; Al Ittihad Alexandria: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Ghazl Al Mahalla 1 win, Al Ittihad Alexandria 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ghazl Al Mahalla — Al Ittihad Alexandria What is xG? | 0.9–1.0 | |
| Ghazl Al Mahalla not to lose | 65% | |
| Al Ittihad Alexandria not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 31% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ghazl Al Mahalla
- Ghazl Al Mahalla goals
- Al Ittihad Alexandria goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Smouha SC0:1
- 16.09Zamalek SC0:1
- 07.09away · National Bank1:3
- 01.09Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI0:0
- 27.08away · Modern Sport FC0:2
- 13.10El Gouna FC2:1
- 15.09away · Al Masry SC2:0
- 07.09Asyut Petroleum1:0
- 02.09away · Abo Qir Semad2:0
- 28.08Ceramica Cleopatra1:3
Head to head
- 18.05.2026Ghazl Al Mahalla — Al Ittihad Alexandria1:0
- 02.03.2026Al Ittihad Alexandria — Ghazl Al Mahalla2:0
- 10.05.2025Al Ittihad Alexandria — Ghazl Al Mahalla0:0
- 21.12.2024Ghazl Al Mahalla — Al Ittihad Alexandria0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Modern Sport FC | 6 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 6 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 19 | El Gouna FC | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl Al Mahalla | 6 | 0 | -9 | 1 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- Al Ahly SCOlympic El Qanah FCpreliminary801461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Ceramica CleopatraPetrojet-Suezpreliminary5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →