Portuguese Primeira Liga, round 10 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Gil Vicente — Vitória de Guimarães
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gil Vicente are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gil Vicente are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gil Vicente — Vitória de Guimarães What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Gil Vicente not to lose | 73% | |
| Vitória de Guimarães not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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- Handicap Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente goals
- Vitória de Guimarães goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 09.10away · Moreirense1:0
- 19.09Marítimo1:1
- 13.09away · Benfica1:3
- 06.09Académico Viseu0:1
- 30.08away · Famalicão0:0
- 11.10away · Benfica0:2
- 20.09Moreirense1:1
- 12.09away · Académico Viseu1:2
- 06.09Casa Pia AC0:0
- 31.08away · Braga0:1
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Gil Vicente — Vitória de Guimarães0:1
- 08.12.2025Vitória de Guimarães — Gil Vicente0:0
- 11.04.2025Gil Vicente — Vitória de Guimarães0:1
- 02.12.2024Vitória de Guimarães — Gil Vicente4:0
- 28.01.2024Gil Vicente — Vitória de Guimarães1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Braga | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitória de Guimarães | 8 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Nacional | 8 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
Primeira Liga on the same day
- BenficaAlvercapreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →