Polish Ekstraklasa, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
GKS Katowice — Pogoń Szczecin
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
GKS Katowice are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 30%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: GKS Katowice — Pogoń Szczecin What is xG? | 1.6–1.4 | |
| GKS Katowice not to lose | 69% | |
| Pogoń Szczecin not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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- Handicap GKS Katowice
- GKS Katowice goals
- Pogoń Szczecin goals
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Form
- 12.10Wieczysta Kraków2:1
- 09.10away · Raków Częstochowa4:1
- 19.09Cracovia3:2
- 12.09away · Zagłębie Lubin1:2
- 04.09away · Piast Gliwice0:3
- 11.10Korona Kielce2:0
- 20.09away · Piast Gliwice2:1
- 13.09Wieczysta Kraków2:0
- 07.09Wisła Płock1:1
- 29.08away · Zagłębie Lubin0:0
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Pogoń Szczecin — GKS Katowice1:1
- 29.11.2025GKS Katowice — Pogoń Szczecin2:0
- 06.04.2025Pogoń Szczecin — GKS Katowice4:0
- 27.09.2024GKS Katowice — Pogoń Szczecin3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Lech Poznań | 9 | 7 | +13 | 22 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Pogoń Szczecin | 9 | 5 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- 4428281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →