Turkish Super Lig, round 9 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Göztepe — Çorum FK

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Model prediction for 25 October

Göztepe54%
Draw24%
Çorum FK22%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Göztepe are clear favourites: 54% against 22% for the opponent, draw 24%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.

Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 68%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Göztepe are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Göztepe — Çorum FK What is xG?2.1–1.4
Göztepe not to lose78%
Çorum FK not to lose46%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes68%
Both teams to score: no32%
Total over 2.568%
Total under 2.532%

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Form

Göztepe

  • 12.10away · Eyüpspor4:0
  • 20.09Rizespor2:2
  • 12.09away · Alanyaspor2:2
  • 07.09Gaziantep FK2:4
  • 29.08away · Galatasaray2:3

Çorum FK

  • 11.10away · Gaziantep FK3:0
  • 19.09Alanyaspor1:2
  • 12.09away · Samsunspor5:1
  • 06.09Eyüpspor3:0
  • 31.08away · Beşiktaş2:6

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Kocaelispor74038–6+212
8Çorum FK731316–12+410
9Kasımpaşa72418–8010
14Erzurumspor FK72233–11-88
15Göztepe713315–1506
16, RelegationKonyaspor71244–8-45

Season 2026/27

Full table

Super Lig on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →