Turkish Super Lig, round 9 · Sunday, 25 October, 16:00 MSK

Konyaspor — Gençlerbirliği

Model prediction for 25 October

Konyaspor58%

Draw24%

Gençlerbirliği18%

Model estimate at 14:19 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Konyaspor are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

By the strength ratings Konyaspor are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Konyaspor — No. 16, 5 pts; Gençlerbirliği — No. 13, 8 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
Gençlerbirliği: winless in 5.
Last 5 meetings: Konyaspor 2 wins, Gençlerbirliği 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Konyaspor — Gençlerbirliği What is xG?		1.8–0.9
Konyaspor not to lose		82%
Gençlerbirliği not to lose		42%
No draw		76%
Both teams to score: yes		52%
Both teams to score: no		48%
Total over 2.5		50%
Total under 2.5		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Konyaspor
Konyaspor goals
Gençlerbirliği goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Konyaspor

11.10Başakşehir0:0
18.09away · Kasımpaşa0:0
12.09Trabzonspor1:0
05.09away · Erzurumspor FK0:1
29.08Kocaelispor1:2

Gençlerbirliği

10.10Amed Sportif2:2
19.09away · Başakşehir0:4
13.09Kasımpaşa1:2
06.09away · Trabzonspor0:5
28.08Erzurumspor FK1:1

Head to head

19.03.2026Konyaspor — Gençlerbirliği1:0
26.10.2025Gençlerbirliği — Konyaspor1:2
03.02.2021Konyaspor — Gençlerbirliği0:0
19.09.2020Gençlerbirliği — Konyaspor0:0
14.06.2020Gençlerbirliği — Konyaspor2:1

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
12	Gaziantep FK	7	2	2	3	7–10	-3	8
13	Gençlerbirliği	7	2	2	3	7–15	-8	8
14	Erzurumspor FK	7	2	2	3	3–11	-8	8
15	Göztepe	7	1	3	3	15–15	0	6
16, Relegation	Konyaspor	7	1	2	4	4–8	-4	5
17, Relegation	Samsunspor	7	1	1	5	6–15	-9	4

Season 2026/27

Full table

Super Lig on the same day

19:00
GöztepeÇorum FKpreliminary
452530
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →