Swiss Super League, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, 15:00 MSK · Stadion Letzigrund

Grasshopper — Young Boys

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true

Grasshopper24%

Draw24%

Young Boys52%

Model estimate at 14:41 MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Young Boys to win (52%), came true.

Young Boys are clear favourites: 52% against 24% for the opponent, draw 24%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.4.

Over 2.5 goals — 74%, both teams to score — 74%.

Why

By the strength ratings Young Boys are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Grasshopper — Young Boys What is xG?		1.6–2.3
Grasshopper not to lose		48%
Young Boys not to lose		76%
No draw		76%
Both teams to score: yes		74%
Both teams to score: no		26%
Total over 2.5		74%
Total under 2.5		26%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Grasshopper
Grasshopper goals
Young Boys goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Grasshopper

19.09away · Luzern1:5
15.09Sion2:5
12.09away · Thun1:0
05.09FC Zürich2:2
02.09St. Gallen2:0

Young Boys

19.09Servette3:2
12.09away · Lugano2:2
05.09Luzern3:3
01.09away · FC Zürich4:2
29.08Basel3:3

Head to head

07.02.2026Grasshopper — Young Boys1:1
17.12.2025Young Boys — Grasshopper2:6
30.10.2025Grasshopper — Young Boys3:3
02.03.2025Grasshopper — Young Boys1:0
25.01.2025Grasshopper — Young Boys0:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Championship round	Lugano	10	9	1	0	31–7	+24	28
2, Championship round	Young Boys	10	6	4	0	33–18	+15	22
3, Championship round	Sion	10	6	1	3	23–17	+6	19
10, Relegation round	FC Vaduz	10	3	0	7	21–21	0	9
11, Relegation round	Grasshopper	10	2	2	6	13–26	-13	8
12, Relegation round	Lausanne	10	1	3	6	7–16	-9	6

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

21:30
Young BoysSt. Gallen24 October · Swiss Super League · preliminary
452629
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.9
18:30
BaselGrasshopper25 October · Swiss Super League · preliminary
612217
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4

Swiss Super League on the same day

17:30
St. GallenLausanne
612316
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.3.2
17:30
FC VaduzBasel
402634
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:2.3.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →