French Ligue 2, round 9 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Grenoble — Boulogne

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Model prediction for 16 October

Grenoble41%
Draw32%
Boulogne27%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Grenoble are slightly stronger: 41% against 27%, draw 32%.

The model expects few goals: 2.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Grenoble — Boulogne What is xG?1.1–0.9
Grenoble not to lose73%
Boulogne not to lose59%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.533%
Total under 2.567%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Grenoble
  • Grenoble goals
  • Boulogne goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Grenoble

  • 09.10away · Montpellier0:2
  • 18.09Clermont Foot1:1
  • 11.09away · Rodez1:0
  • 04.09Annecy FC1:2
  • 28.08away · Laval3:0

Boulogne

  • 09.10away · Sochaux1:1
  • 19.09Nantes1:2
  • 11.09away · Clermont Foot0:0
  • 04.09Dijon1:1
  • 28.08away · Montpellier0:0

Head to head

  • 27.02.2026Grenoble — Boulogne0:0
  • 21.11.2025Boulogne — Grenoble3:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
13Nantes82249–13-48
14Grenoble82248–13-58
15Rodez821514–18-47
16, Relegation play-offBoulogne80624–6-26
17, RelegationClermont Foot80626–9-36

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →