French Ligue 2, round 9 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Guingamp — Pau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Guingamp are clear favourites: 48% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Guingamp are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Guingamp — Pau What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Guingamp not to lose | 74% | |
| Pau not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Guingamp
- Guingamp goals
- Pau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 17.04.2026Pau — Guingamp2:1
- 08.11.2025Guingamp — Pau2:2
- 10.05.2025Pau — Guingamp1:3
- 18.10.2024Guingamp — Pau0:1
- 27.04.2024Pau — Guingamp1:2
Table
Ligue 2 on the same day
- 4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 4132271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 4229281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →