2. Bundesliga, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Greuther Fürth — Holstein Kiel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Greuther Fürth are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Greuther Fürth — No. 15, 6 pts; Holstein Kiel — No. 18, 4 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Greuther Fürth: winless in 4; Holstein Kiel: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Greuther Fürth 2 wins, Holstein Kiel 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Greuther Fürth — Holstein Kiel What is xG? | 1.6–1.4 | |
| Greuther Fürth not to lose | 69% | |
| Holstein Kiel not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Greuther Fürth
- Greuther Fürth goals
- Holstein Kiel goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Hertha BSC1:2
- 18.09Magdeburg1:1
- 12.09away · Bochum1:1
- 06.09FC Heidenheim0:1
- 29.08away · Energie Cottbus4:3
- 09.10away · Eintracht Braunschweig0:1
- 19.09VfL Osnabrück1:1
- 13.09away · FC Heidenheim0:1
- 05.091. FC Nürnberg2:2
- 30.08away · Magdeburg0:2
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Holstein Kiel — Greuther Fürth1:2
- 24.08.2025Greuther Fürth — Holstein Kiel0:2
- 28.01.2024Greuther Fürth — Holstein Kiel2:1
- 05.08.2023Holstein Kiel — Greuther Fürth2:1
- 28.01.2023Holstein Kiel — Greuther Fürth2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | -4 | 4 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- Hannover 96Dynamo Dresdenpreliminary5823191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- St. Pauli1. FC Nürnbergpreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →