Swedish Allsvenskan, round 27 · Sunday, 1 November, 18:30 MSK

Häcken — IFK Göteborg

Model prediction for 1 November

Häcken57%

Draw23%

IFK Göteborg20%

Model estimate at 00:52 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Häcken are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

By the strength ratings Häcken are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Häcken — IFK Göteborg What is xG?		2.0–1.2
Häcken not to lose		80%
IFK Göteborg not to lose		43%
No draw		77%
Both teams to score: yes		63%
Both teams to score: no		37%
Total over 2.5		63%
Total under 2.5		37%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Häcken
Häcken goals
IFK Göteborg goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Häcken

11.10Örgryte3:0
20.09away · Kalmar FF5:0
11.09Mjällby1:1
05.09away · GAIS0:0
29.08Västerås SK1:3

IFK Göteborg

09.10Västerås SK1:0
19.09away · Brommapojkarna1:0
12.09Halmstads BK2:1
07.09away · Mjällby4:1
30.08Örgryte1:0

Head to head

11.04.2026IFK Göteborg — Häcken0:2
15.09.2025Häcken — IFK Göteborg1:2
20.04.2025IFK Göteborg — Häcken2:3
15.09.2024Häcken — IFK Göteborg3:3
24.04.2024IFK Göteborg — Häcken0:1

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
4	Elfsborg	23	11	7	5	35–22	+13	40
5	Häcken	23	10	9	4	42–30	+12	39
6	Malmö FF	23	11	3	9	38–33	+5	36
7	Västerås SK	23	10	5	8	34–36	-2	35
8	IFK Göteborg	23	10	5	8	32–41	-9	35
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36–40	-4	33

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

16:00
DjurgårdenDegerforspreliminary
73189
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
16:00
Malmö FFHammarbypreliminary
242650
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
18:30
ElfsborgÖrgrytepreliminary
672013
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
18:30
Västerås SKBrommapojkarnapreliminary
392932
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →