Botola Pro (Morocco), round 4 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Adrar Stadium
Hassania Agadir — FAR Rabat
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, FAR Rabat to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.
FAR Rabat are clear favourites: 56% against 18% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FAR Rabat are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Hassania Agadir 1 win, FAR Rabat 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hassania Agadir — FAR Rabat What is xG? | 0.9–1.8 | |
| Hassania Agadir not to lose | 44% | |
| FAR Rabat not to lose | 82% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hassania Agadir
- Hassania Agadir goals
- FAR Rabat goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 08.10away · Renaissance Club Zemamra5:2
- 03.10MAS Fès1:2
- 27.09away · KACM3:2
- 05.07KACM1:1
- 02.07away · Raja Casablanca0:2
- 08.10Widad Temara1:0
- 05.07Renaissance Club Zemamra0:0
- 02.07away · CODM Meknès2:3
- 28.06Union Touarga Sport2:2
- 25.06away · RS Berkane2:2
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Hassania Agadir — FAR Rabat2:3
- 29.10.2025FAR Rabat — Hassania Agadir3:0
- 11.05.2025Hassania Agadir — FAR Rabat0:3
- 22.12.2024FAR Rabat — Hassania Agadir2:1
- 27.04.2024Hassania Agadir — FAR Rabat2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, CAF Champions League | Hassania Agadir | 4 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 2, CAF Champions League | MAS Fès | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Ittihad Tanger | 3 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | FAR Rabat | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Wydad Casablanca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →