Ghana Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Hearts of Oak — Holy Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hearts of Oak are clear favourites: 71% against 8% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects few goals: 1.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 22%, both teams to score — 16%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hearts of Oak are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hearts of Oak — Holy Stars What is xG? | 1.4–0.3 | |
| Hearts of Oak not to lose | 92% | |
| Holy Stars not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 16% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 84% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 22% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 78% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hearts of Oak
- Hearts of Oak goals
- Holy Stars goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Port City1:0
- 03.10away · Dreams FC0:0
- 26.09away · Karela United0:1
- 20.09Bechem United0:0
- 13.09away · Bibiani Gold Stars2:1
- 11.10away · Bibiani Gold Stars0:2
- 04.10Berekum Chelsea1:0
- 27.09away · Medeama SC1:4
- 20.09Ashanti Gold1:0
- 13.09away · Young Apostles0:1
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Hearts of Oak — Holy Stars0:0
- 02.11.2025Holy Stars — Hearts of Oak1:2
- 26.01.2025Holy Stars — Hearts of Oak0:0
- 08.09.2024Hearts of Oak — Holy Stars0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama SC | 6 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 6 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 3 | Samartex | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Karela United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Holy Stars | 6 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | All Blacks | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- Ashanti GoldAsante Kotoko SCpreliminary5325221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Bechem UnitedDebibipreliminary6520151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Berekum ChelseaSamartexpreliminary4928221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- Bibiani Gold StarsHeart of Lionspreliminary6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Dreams FCVision FCpreliminary6022181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Karela UnitedPort Citypreliminary4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- Medeama SCAduana Starspreliminary6820121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Young ApostlesAll Blackspreliminary4530261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →