Ghana Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Karela United — Port City

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Model prediction for 25 October

Karela United46%
Draw29%
Port City25%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Karela United are clear favourites: 46% against 25% for the opponent, draw 29%.

1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 34%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Karela United are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Karela United — Port City What is xG?1.1–0.7
Karela United not to lose75%
Port City not to lose54%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes34%
Both teams to score: no66%
Total over 2.527%
Total under 2.573%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Karela United
  • Karela United goals
  • Port City goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Karela United

  • 11.10Dreams FC1:0
  • 01.10away · Asante Kotoko SC0:1
  • 26.09Hearts of Oak1:0
  • 20.09away · Aduana Stars1:2
  • 13.09Bechem United3:1

Port City

  • 11.10away · Hearts of Oak0:1
  • 04.10Bechem United3:1
  • 30.09away · Medeama SC0:1
  • 27.09away · Bibiani Gold Stars2:0
  • 20.09Berekum Chelsea2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3Samartex63217–4+311
4Port City63128–5+310
5Ashanti Gold63129–7+210
7Bechem United63128–8010
8Karela United63037–709
9Holy Stars63034–7-39

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →