Serie B, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Hellas Verona — Pisa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Hellas Verona 38%, Pisa 35%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pisa are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hellas Verona — Pisa What is xG? | 1.7–1.6 | |
| Hellas Verona not to lose | 65% | |
| Pisa not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hellas Verona
- Hellas Verona goals
- Pisa goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Modena2:3
- 20.09LR Vicenza2:1
- 11.09away · Benevento1:3
- 06.09Arezzo5:0
- 03.09away · Cagliari2:1
- 10.10away · LR Vicenza3:0
- 20.09away · Mantova2:2
- 15.09away · Fiorentina0:3
- 11.09Virtus Entella1:4
- 06.09away · Juve Stabia3:0
Head to head
- 06.02.2026Hellas Verona — Pisa0:0
- 18.10.2025Pisa — Hellas Verona0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Avellino | 6 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Pisa | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Benevento | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
Serie B on the same day
- PalermoCarraresepreliminary6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →