2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Holstein Kiel — Hertha BSC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Evenly matched: Holstein Kiel 34%, Hertha BSC 39%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Holstein Kiel — Hertha BSC What is xG? | 1.5–1.6 | |
| Holstein Kiel not to lose | 61% | |
| Hertha BSC not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Holstein Kiel
- Holstein Kiel goals
- Hertha BSC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Eintracht Braunschweig0:1
- 19.09VfL Osnabrück1:1
- 13.09away · FC Heidenheim0:1
- 05.091. FC Nürnberg2:2
- 30.08away · Magdeburg0:2
- 11.10Greuther Fürth2:1
- 19.09away · Dynamo Dresden2:1
- 13.09away · VfL Osnabrück3:1
- 06.09Magdeburg2:1
- 28.08away · Eintracht Braunschweig5:3
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Hertha BSC — Holstein Kiel0:1
- 29.11.2025Holstein Kiel — Hertha BSC0:1
- 01.03.2024Hertha BSC — Holstein Kiel2:2
- 24.09.2023Holstein Kiel — Hertha BSC2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Hertha BSC | 7 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 2, Promotion | 1. FC Nürnberg | 7 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 17, Relegation | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | -4 | 4 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 3725382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 2:34.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →