2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Energie Cottbus — 1. FC Nürnberg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Evenly matched: Energie Cottbus 37%, 1. FC Nürnberg 38%, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 71%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Energie Cottbus — No. 8, 8 pts; 1. FC Nürnberg — No. 2, 17 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- 1. FC Nürnberg: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Energie Cottbus — 1. FC Nürnberg What is xG? | 1.8–1.9 | |
| Energie Cottbus not to lose | 62% | |
| 1. FC Nürnberg not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 29% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Energie Cottbus
- Energie Cottbus goals
- 1. FC Nürnberg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Darmstadt1:3
- 20.09St. Pauli1:1
- 13.09away · Karlsruher SC3:0
- 05.09away · Wolfsburg4:4
- 29.08Greuther Fürth3:4
- 10.10Wolfsburg4:4
- 19.09away · Karlsruher SC1:0
- 11.09Hannover 962:1
- 05.09away · Holstein Kiel2:2
- 29.08Arminia Bielefeld4:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Hertha BSC | 7 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 2, Promotion | 1. FC Nürnberg | 7 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →