Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Houston Dynamo FC — FC Dallas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Houston Dynamo FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Houston Dynamo FC — FC Dallas What is xG? | 1.4–1.2 | |
| Houston Dynamo FC not to lose | 69% | |
| FC Dallas not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Houston Dynamo FC
- Houston Dynamo FC goals
- FC Dallas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Minnesota United2:2
- 27.09Sporting Kansas City0:2
- 20.09FC Cincinnati2:2
- 13.09away · San Jose Earthquakes0:1
- 10.09Real Salt Lake2:1
- 11.10away · Charlotte FC2:3
- 27.09Los Angeles FC1:0
- 20.09Austin FC0:0
- 13.09Portland Timbers2:1
- 10.09away · Minnesota United2:1
Head to head
- 22.03.2026FC Dallas — Houston Dynamo FC4:3
- 18.05.2025FC Dallas — Houston Dynamo FC0:2
- 23.02.2025Houston Dynamo FC — FC Dallas1:2
- 19.05.2024Houston Dynamo FC — FC Dallas1:1
- 28.04.2024FC Dallas — Houston Dynamo FC2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
MLS on the same day
- 2625482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.6
- 1524612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →