English Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Hull City — Brentford
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Brentford are clear favourites: 55% against 17% for the opponent, draw 29%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brentford are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Hull City — No. 8, 9 pts; Brentford — No. 4, 10 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Hull City: winless in 5; Brentford: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hull City — Brentford What is xG? | 1.1–1.8 | |
| Hull City not to lose | 45% | |
| Brentford not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hull City
- Hull City goals
- Brentford goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Everton2:2
- 19.09away · Newcastle United1:2
- 12.09away · Chelsea2:2
- 08.09away · Sunderland0:1
- 05.09Aston Villa0:0
- 10.10away · Aston Villa2:2
- 18.09Chelsea3:0
- 15.09away · Reading2:1
- 12.09away · AFC Bournemouth2:2
- 05.09Sunderland1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Champions League | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 4, Champions League | Brentford | 6 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Everton | 6 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds United | 6 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
Premier League on the same day
- Crystal PalaceNewcastle Unitedpreliminary3230382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- LiverpoolBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary5325221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouthpreliminary5326201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- SunderlandLeeds Unitedpreliminary3030392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →