English Premier League, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · MKM Stadium
Hull City — Everton
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:2Came true
In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (32%), came true.
Everton are slightly stronger: 40% against 28%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Everton are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hull City — Everton What is xG? | 1.0–1.2 | |
| Hull City not to lose | 60% | |
| Everton not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hull City
- Hull City goals
- Everton goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Newcastle United1:2
- 12.09away · Chelsea2:2
- 08.09away · Sunderland0:1
- 05.09Aston Villa0:0
- 29.08away · Coventry City1:0
- 19.09Ipswich Town1:0
- 16.09Wolverhampton Wanderers1:0
- 12.09away · Tottenham Hotspur0:0
- 06.09Manchester United2:2
- 29.08away · AFC Bournemouth1:1
Head to head
- 08.01.2022Hull City — Everton2:3
Table
Next matches
- EvertonChelsea17 October · Premier League333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- FulhamHull City17 October · Premier League5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
Premier League on the same day
- 4229291The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 3327392The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:2.3.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →