Argentine Liga Profesional · Friday, 16 October, MSK · Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Huracán — Gimnasia LP

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Model prediction for 16 October

Huracán39%
Draw31%
Gimnasia LP30%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Huracán are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 31%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Gimnasia LP: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Huracán 1 win, Gimnasia LP 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Huracán — Gimnasia LP What is xG?1.2–1.0
Huracán not to lose70%
Gimnasia LP not to lose61%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.535%
Total under 2.565%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Huracán
  • Huracán goals
  • Gimnasia LP goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Huracán

  • 10.10away · Barracas Central0:2
  • 04.10Aldosivi1:0
  • 20.09away · River Plate2:1
  • 14.09Racing Club2:1
  • 05.09away · Belgrano1:1

Gimnasia LP

  • 10.10Atlético Tucumán1:1
  • 03.10away · Independiente Rivadavia1:1
  • 19.09Banfield2:2
  • 13.09away · Argentinos Juniors1:1
  • 05.09Tigre2:1

Head to head

  • 05.04.2026Gimnasia LP — Huracán0:3
  • 02.11.2024Huracán — Gimnasia LP0:0
  • 14.06.2023Gimnasia LP — Huracán1:0
  • 31.07.2022Huracán — Gimnasia LP0:1
  • 28.08.2021Gimnasia LP — Huracán0:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →