Swedish Allsvenskan, round 23 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Gamla Ullevi
IFK Göteborg — Västerås SK
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, IFK Göteborg to win (45%), came true.
IFK Göteborg are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings IFK Göteborg are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: IFK Göteborg — Västerås SK What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| IFK Göteborg not to lose | 71% | |
| Västerås SK not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap IFK Göteborg
- IFK Göteborg goals
- Västerås SK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 19.09away · Brommapojkarna1:0
- 12.09Halmstads BK2:1
- 07.09away · Mjällby4:1
- 30.08Örgryte1:0
- 23.08Elfsborg1:1
Head to head
- 31.05.2026Västerås SK — IFK Göteborg4:5
- 26.09.2024Västerås SK — IFK Göteborg1:1
- 21.07.2024IFK Göteborg — Västerås SK1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Malmö FF | 23 | 11 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 | Västerås SK | 23 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | IFK Göteborg | 23 | 10 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | AIK | 23 | 9 | -4 | 33 |
Next matches
- AIKIFK Göteborg17 October · Allsvenskan4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Västerås SKMjällby18 October · Allsvenskan4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →