Swedish Allsvenskan, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Västerås SK — Mjällby

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Model prediction for 18 October

Västerås SK40%
Draw29%
Mjällby31%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Västerås SK are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Västerås SK — Mjällby What is xG?1.5–1.3
Västerås SK not to lose69%
Mjällby not to lose60%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes60%
Both teams to score: no40%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Västerås SK
  • Västerås SK goals
  • Mjällby goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Västerås SK

  • 09.10away · IFK Göteborg0:1
  • 19.09Malmö FF2:0
  • 12.09away · AIK4:1
  • 05.09Sirius0:1
  • 29.08away · Häcken3:1

Mjällby

  • 10.10Degerfors1:1
  • 20.09GAIS0:3
  • 16.09away · AIK1:1
  • 11.09away · Häcken1:1
  • 07.09IFK Göteborg1:4

Head to head

  • 17.07.2026Mjällby — Västerås SK0:0
  • 05.10.2024Mjällby — Västerås SK2:1
  • 25.04.2024Västerås SK — Mjällby2:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Malmö FF23113938–33+536
7Västerås SK23105834–36-235
8IFK Göteborg23105832–41-935
11Brommapojkarna2386936–41-530
12Mjällby23581028–39-1123
13Degerfors23551320–35-1520

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →