Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Independiente del Valle — LDU de Quito
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Independiente del Valle are clear favourites: 61% against 16% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Independiente del Valle are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- LDU de Quito: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Independiente del Valle 1 win, LDU de Quito 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Independiente del Valle — LDU de Quito What is xG? | 1.8–0.9 | |
| Independiente del Valle not to lose | 84% | |
| LDU de Quito not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Independiente del Valle
- Independiente del Valle goals
- LDU de Quito goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Aucas2:1
- 18.09away · Flamengo1:1
- 14.09away · Libertad (ECU)3:2
- 11.09Flamengo0:2
- 06.09CSD Macará3:1
- 12.10Barcelona SC2:1
- 21.09Universidad Católica (ECU)2:1
- 17.09Palmeiras3:2
- 13.09Deportivo Cuenca1:1
- 10.09away · Palmeiras0:1
Head to head
- 08.08.2026LDU de Quito — Independiente del Valle0:2
- 19.04.2026Independiente del Valle — LDU de Quito0:2
- 11.12.2025Independiente del Valle — LDU de Quito0:0
- 29.11.2025LDU de Quito — Independiente del Valle2:1
- 22.06.2025LDU de Quito — Independiente del Valle1:1
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- Universidad Católica (ECU)Aucaspreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- CSD MacaráBarcelona SCpreliminary4629241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Guayaquil CityLibertad (ECU)preliminary3729341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- EmelecLeones del Nortepreliminary4031291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- DelfínDeportivo Cuencapreliminary383230XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- OrenseTécnico Universitariopreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Mushuc RunaMantapreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →