Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Independiente del Valle — Universidad Católica (ECU)
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Independiente del Valle are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.4.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Independiente del Valle are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Independiente del Valle — Universidad Católica (ECU) What is xG? | 2.2–1.1 | |
| Independiente del Valle not to lose | 84% | |
| Universidad Católica (ECU) not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Independiente del Valle
- Independiente del Valle goals
- Universidad Católica (ECU) goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10Aucas2:1
- 18.09away · Flamengo1:1
- 14.09away · Libertad (ECU)3:2
- 11.09Flamengo0:2
- 06.09CSD Macará3:1
- 11.10CSD Macará0:1
- 21.09away · LDU de Quito1:2
- 15.09Orense2:1
- 07.09away · Delfín1:0
- 03.09Aucas1:1
Head to head
- 29.08.2026Independiente del Valle — Universidad Católica (ECU)2:2
- 02.05.2026Universidad Católica (ECU) — Independiente del Valle2:3
- 15.12.2025Universidad Católica (ECU) — Independiente del Valle0:1
- 09.11.2025Independiente del Valle — Universidad Católica (ECU)0:2
- 29.06.2025Universidad Católica (ECU) — Independiente del Valle0:3
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- LDU de QuitoCSD Macarápreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- AucasBarcelona SCpreliminary4130281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Leones del NorteLibertad (ECU)preliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
- EmelecGuayaquil Citypreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Técnico UniversitarioMushuc Runapreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- MantaDeportivo Cuencapreliminary363233XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
- OrenseDelfínpreliminary5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →