Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Orense — Delfín
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Orense are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Orense are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orense — Delfín What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| Orense not to lose | 80% | |
| Delfín not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Orense
- Orense goals
- Delfín goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Deportivo Cuenca0:0
- 21.09away · Manta1:2
- 15.09away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:2
- 08.09Guayaquil City4:3
- 04.09away · Leones del Norte0:1
- 09.10Mushuc Runa3:2
- 20.09away · Técnico Universitario1:1
- 14.09away · Barcelona SC1:1
- 07.09Universidad Católica (ECU)0:1
- 02.09Técnico Universitario1:0
Head to head
- 10.08.2026Delfín — Orense1:1
- 19.04.2026Orense — Delfín0:0
- 26.08.2025Orense — Delfín3:1
- 04.05.2025Delfín — Orense0:0
- 01.11.2024Orense — Delfín0:0
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- LDU de QuitoCSD Macarápreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- AucasBarcelona SCpreliminary4130281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Leones del NorteLibertad (ECU)preliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
- EmelecGuayaquil Citypreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Técnico UniversitarioMushuc Runapreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- MantaDeportivo Cuencapreliminary363233XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →