PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Serie A, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Inter — Fiorentina

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 25 October

Inter73%
Draw19%
Fiorentina8%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Inter are clear favourites: 73% against 8% for the opponent, draw 19%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Inter are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Inter — Fiorentina What is xG?2.3–0.9
Inter not to lose92%
Fiorentina not to lose27%
No draw81%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Inter
  • Inter goals
  • Fiorentina goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Inter

  • 13.10Club Brugge3:4
  • 10.10Parma3:0
  • 19.09away · Roma2:2
  • 14.09Udinese5:3
  • 08.09away · Real Madrid1:2

Fiorentina

  • 10.10away · Genoa1:2
  • 20.09Napoli1:1
  • 15.09Pisa3:0
  • 11.09away · Venezia4:2
  • 05.09Torino1:2

Head to head

  • 22.03.2026Fiorentina — Inter1:1
  • 29.10.2025Inter — Fiorentina3:0
  • 10.02.2025Inter — Fiorentina2:1
  • 06.02.2025Fiorentina — Inter3:0
  • 28.01.2024Fiorentina — Inter0:1

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions LeagueInter651018–8+1016
2, Champions LeagueLazio651011–4+716
18, RelegationParma61144–10-64
19, RelegationFiorentina61147–14-74
20, RelegationVenezia60065–16-110

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie A on the same day

  • AtalantaFrosinonepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
  • GenoaVeneziapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • LecceJuventuspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
  • UdineseMilanpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →