K League 1 (South Korea), round 32 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Jeju SK

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Model prediction for 18 October

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC52%
Draw27%
Jeju SK21%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Jeju SK What is xG?1.5–1.0
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC not to lose79%
Jeju SK not to lose48%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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Form

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC

  • 09.10away · Daejeon Hana Citizen1:2
  • 20.09Gwangju FC2:2
  • 12.09FC Seoul1:2
  • 09.09away · Gangwon FC1:1
  • 05.09Pohang Steelers2:0

Jeju SK

  • 10.10away · FC Seoul1:2
  • 20.09away · Gangwon FC1:0
  • 12.09away · Bucheon FC 19952:2
  • 09.09away · Gwangju FC1:0
  • 05.09Ulsan HD FC0:0

Head to head

  • 08.08.2026Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Jeju SK1:3
  • 02.05.2026Jeju SK — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:2
  • 03.10.2025Jeju SK — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
  • 23.05.2025Jeju SK — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:0
  • 13.04.2025Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Jeju SK1:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Championship roundGangwon FC311113738–28+1046
4, Championship roundJeju SK311210936–31+546
5, Championship roundJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC311111939–30+944
6, Championship roundDaejeon Hana Citizen3111101048–38+1043

Season 2026

Full table

K League 1 on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →