Tanzania Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

JKT Tanzania — Azam FC

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Model prediction for 31 October

JKT Tanzania17%
Draw29%
Azam FC53%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Azam FC are clear favourites: 53% against 17% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Azam FC are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: JKT Tanzania — Azam FC What is xG?0.7–1.3
JKT Tanzania not to lose47%
Azam FC not to lose83%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.533%
Total under 2.567%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap JKT Tanzania
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  • Azam FC goals
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Form

JKT Tanzania

  • 09.10away · Fountain Gate FC2:1
  • 12.09away · Coastal Union1:2
  • 05.09Pamba Jiji3:0
  • 29.08Namungo FC2:1
  • 24.08away · Young Africans0:4

Azam FC

  • 09.10away · Coastal Union2:0
  • 16.09Simba SC0:2
  • 07.09Namungo FC2:0
  • 31.08away · Kagera Sugar2:0
  • 28.08away · Geita Gold FC2:2

Head to head

  • 17.04.2026Azam FC — JKT Tanzania3:0
  • 01.10.2025JKT Tanzania — Azam FC1:1
  • 27.12.2024Azam FC — JKT Tanzania3:1
  • 28.08.2024JKT Tanzania — Azam FC0:0
  • 21.05.2024JKT Tanzania — Azam FC0:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2Young Africans760117–4+1318
3Azam FC852113–7+617
4Mashujaa84049–13-412
8Mbeya City73137–7010
9JKT Tanzania73139–11-210
10Coastal Union83147–11-410

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →