Tanzania Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Mbeya City — Singida Black Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Singida Black Stars are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Singida Black Stars are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Mbeya City — No. 8, 10 pts; Singida Black Stars — No. 5, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 2 meetings: Mbeya City 0 wins, Singida Black Stars 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mbeya City — Singida Black Stars What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Mbeya City not to lose | 56% | |
| Singida Black Stars not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mbeya City
- Mbeya City goals
- Singida Black Stars goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Kagera Sugar1:3
- 12.09away · Polisi Tanzania FC0:2
- 04.09away · TRA United0:0
- 28.08away · Fountain Gate FC2:0
- 23.08Mashujaa2:1
- 12.10away · Coastal Union0:1
- 09.10away · Dodoma Jiji FC1:1
- 09.09away · Mashujaa1:2
- 01.09Namungo FC3:2
- 29.08Polisi Tanzania FC4:2
Head to head
- 26.05.2026Singida Black Stars — Mbeya City4:1
- 15.03.2026Mbeya City — Singida Black Stars1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 7 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- JKT TanzaniaAzam FCpreliminary1729542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2
- Coastal UnionDodoma Jiji FCpreliminary5328191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →