Serie A, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Juventus — Napoli
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Juventus are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventus are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Juventus — Napoli What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Juventus not to lose | 79% | |
| Napoli not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Juventus
- Juventus goals
- Napoli goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Cagliari1:1
- 20.09Atalanta2:0
- 17.09NEC Nijmegen5:0
- 13.09away · Sassuolo2:3
- 06.09Milan1:1
- 13.10away · Villarreal1:3
- 10.10Frosinone3:0
- 20.09away · Fiorentina1:1
- 13.09Bologna1:0
- 09.09Arsenal0:1
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Juventus — Napoli3:0
- 07.12.2025Napoli — Juventus2:1
- 25.01.2025Napoli — Juventus2:1
- 21.09.2024Juventus — Napoli0:0
- 03.03.2024Napoli — Juventus2:1
Table
Serie A on the same day
- ComoVeneziapreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- FrosinoneTorinopreliminary323236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- LazioCagliaripreliminary5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- LecceGenoapreliminary273340XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →