Swedish Allsvenskan, round 25 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Kalmar FF — Brommapojkarna

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Model prediction for 24 October

Kalmar FF41%
Draw28%
Brommapojkarna31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kalmar FF are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.

The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kalmar FF — Brommapojkarna What is xG?1.4–1.2
Kalmar FF not to lose69%
Brommapojkarna not to lose59%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Kalmar FF
  • Kalmar FF goals
  • Brommapojkarna goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kalmar FF

  • 12.10away · Malmö FF0:1
  • 20.09Häcken0:5
  • 13.09away · Elfsborg0:1
  • 07.09Djurgården0:1
  • 29.08away · Halmstads BK0:1

Brommapojkarna

  • 10.10away · AIK6:5
  • 19.09IFK Göteborg0:1
  • 13.09away · Hammarby1:3
  • 06.09Elfsborg2:1
  • 31.08away · GAIS0:4

Head to head

  • 17.05.2026Brommapojkarna — Kalmar FF1:0
  • 26.10.2024Brommapojkarna — Kalmar FF1:2
  • 14.07.2024Kalmar FF — Brommapojkarna0:1
  • 27.08.2023Brommapojkarna — Kalmar FF2:3
  • 14.05.2023Kalmar FF — Brommapojkarna1:3

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10GAIS2386928–21+730
11Brommapojkarna2386936–41-530
12Mjällby23581028–39-1123
13Degerfors23551320–35-1520
14, Relegation play-offKalmar FF23541421–37-1619
15, RelegationÖrgryte23361425–52-2715

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • HäckenDegerforspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
  • SiriusAIKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →