2. Bundesliga, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Karlsruher SC — FC Heidenheim
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Heidenheim are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Heidenheim are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Karlsruher SC — No. 17, 5 pts; FC Heidenheim — No. 3, 14 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Karlsruher SC: 3 defeats in a row; FC Heidenheim: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: Karlsruher SC 1 win, FC Heidenheim 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Karlsruher SC — FC Heidenheim What is xG? | 1.4–1.8 | |
| Karlsruher SC not to lose | 55% | |
| FC Heidenheim not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Karlsruher SC
- Karlsruher SC goals
- FC Heidenheim goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · St. Pauli0:2
- 19.091. FC Nürnberg0:1
- 13.09Energie Cottbus0:3
- 04.09away · Hannover 962:2
- 29.08Wolfsburg2:5
- 09.10Kaiserslautern0:0
- 20.09away · Arminia Bielefeld2:2
- 13.09Holstein Kiel1:0
- 06.09away · Greuther Fürth1:0
- 29.08Dynamo Dresden5:3
Head to head
- 17.03.2023FC Heidenheim — Karlsruher SC5:2
- 10.09.2022Karlsruher SC — FC Heidenheim0:0
- 15.05.2022FC Heidenheim — Karlsruher SC2:0
- 12.12.2021Karlsruher SC — FC Heidenheim3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Promotion | 1. FC Nürnberg | 7 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 | Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | -4 | 4 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- DarmstadtMagdeburgpreliminary3727372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- KaiserslauternHertha BSCpreliminary3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- WolfsburgVfL Osnabrückpreliminary6519161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →