Ukrainian Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Karpaty — Kudrivka
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Karpaty are clear favourites: 75% against 8% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Karpaty are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Karpaty — Kudrivka What is xG? | 2.3–0.7 | |
| Karpaty not to lose | 92% | |
| Kudrivka not to lose | 25% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
181 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Karpaty
- Karpaty goals
- Kudrivka goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Dynamo Kyiv0:1
- 20.09Veres Rivne1:1
- 11.09away · FC Kolos Kovalivka2:0
- 05.09Shakhtar Donetsk1:2
- 29.08away · Liviy Bereh1:1
- 11.10away · LNZ Cherkasy1:2
- 03.10away · Veres Rivne1:2
- 20.09FC Kolos Kovalivka2:3
- 04.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr1:5
- 29.08Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0:3
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Karpaty — Kudrivka1:1
- 29.08.2025Kudrivka — Karpaty2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 7 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 6 | Zorya | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 15, Relegation | Obolon Kyiv | 7 | 0 | -10 | 4 |
| 16, Relegation | Kudrivka | 8 | 0 | -14 | 2 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- ZoryaEpitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyipreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- FC Kolos KovalivkaPolissya Zhytomyrpreliminary2130492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.1
- KryvbasDynamo Kyivpreliminary2126542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
- Liviy BerehBukovyna Chernivtsipreliminary323533XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.5
- LNZ CherkasyFC Kharkivpreliminary323334XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.7
- Obolon KyivShakhtar Donetskpreliminary412852The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.2
- Veres RivneChornomorets Odesapreliminary4831211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →