Ukrainian Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Liviy Bereh — Bukovyna Chernivtsi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Liviy Bereh 32%, Bukovyna Chernivtsi 33%, draw 35%.
The model expects few goals: 1.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bukovyna Chernivtsi are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Liviy Bereh — No. 12, 7 pts; Bukovyna Chernivtsi — No. 10, 8 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Liviy Bereh — Bukovyna Chernivtsi What is xG? | 0.8–0.9 | |
| Liviy Bereh not to lose | 67% | |
| Bukovyna Chernivtsi not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Liviy Bereh
- Liviy Bereh goals
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10Zorya1:3
- 19.09away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi2:0
- 13.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr0:1
- 04.09away · Chornomorets Odesa0:0
- 29.08Karpaty1:1
- 11.10Polissya Zhytomyr2:2
- 19.09away · FC Kharkiv0:2
- 13.09Zorya1:1
- 06.09away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0:0
- 31.08Dynamo Kyiv3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 7 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 8 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Liviy Bereh | 7 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Kryvbas | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- ZoryaEpitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyipreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- KarpatyKudrivkapreliminary741791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- FC Kolos KovalivkaPolissya Zhytomyrpreliminary2130492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.2
- KryvbasDynamo Kyivpreliminary2126532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- LNZ CherkasyFC Kharkivpreliminary333434XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
- Obolon KyivShakhtar Donetskpreliminary412842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- Veres RivneChornomorets Odesapreliminary4831211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →