J1 League (Japan), round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Kashiwa Reysol — Urawa Red Diamonds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kashiwa Reysol are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kashiwa Reysol are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kashiwa Reysol — Urawa Red Diamonds What is xG? | 1.7–1.2 | |
| Kashiwa Reysol not to lose | 76% | |
| Urawa Red Diamonds not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kashiwa Reysol
- Kashiwa Reysol goals
- Urawa Red Diamonds goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10Vissel Kobe4:2
- 20.09away · Machida Zelvia4:2
- 11.09away · Kyoto Sanga FC3:2
- 06.09Yokohama F.Marinos0:2
- 02.09away · Cerezo Osaka0:2
- 10.10away · FC Tokyo0:3
- 19.09Tokyo Verdy3:1
- 13.09Fagiano Okayama FC1:2
- 06.09away · Kashima Antlers1:0
- 02.09away · Avispa Fukuoka3:2
Head to head
- 06.05.2026Kashiwa Reysol — Urawa Red Diamonds0:1
- 18.03.2026Urawa Red Diamonds — Kashiwa Reysol1:1
- 22.08.2025Kashiwa Reysol — Urawa Red Diamonds4:2
- 02.03.2025Urawa Red Diamonds — Kashiwa Reysol0:2
- 23.10.2024Urawa Red Diamonds — Kashiwa Reysol1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | +16 | 20 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
J1 League on the same day
- Kyoto Sanga FCShimizu S-Pulsepreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Mito HollyhockSanfrecce Hiroshimapreliminary1322652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- Fagiano Okayama FCFC Tokyopreliminary3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- Kashima AntlersCerezo Osakapreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Vissel KobeNagoya Grampuspreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →