J1 League (Japan), round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Mito Hollyhock — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are clear favourites: 65% against 13% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sanfrecce Hiroshima are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mito Hollyhock — Sanfrecce Hiroshima What is xG? | 0.8–1.9 | |
| Mito Hollyhock not to lose | 35% | |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima not to lose | 87% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock goals
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Shimizu S-Pulse1:2
- 19.09away · Yokohama F.Marinos0:2
- 12.09Kawasaki Frontale0:1
- 05.09away · Avispa Fukuoka1:1
- 02.09Kashima Antlers4:2
- 11.10away · Tokyo Verdy2:0
- 19.09away · Avispa Fukuoka1:0
- 12.09Cerezo Osaka6:1
- 06.09away · Fagiano Okayama FC2:3
- 02.09Nagoya Grampus3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | +12 | 20 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
J1 League on the same day
- Kyoto Sanga FCShimizu S-Pulsepreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Fagiano Okayama FCFC Tokyopreliminary3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- Kashima AntlersCerezo Osakapreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Vissel KobeNagoya Grampuspreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Kashiwa ReysolUrawa Red Diamondspreliminary4926241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →