Turkish Super Lig, round 8 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Kocaelispor — Göztepe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Kocaelispor 34%, Göztepe 34%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Göztepe are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kocaelispor — Göztepe What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| Kocaelispor not to lose | 66% | |
| Göztepe not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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- Handicap Kocaelispor
- Kocaelispor goals
- Göztepe goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Beşiktaş1:2
- 19.09Gaziantep FK2:0
- 13.09away · Galatasaray0:1
- 06.09Samsunspor1:0
- 29.08away · Konyaspor2:1
- 12.10away · Eyüpspor4:0
- 20.09Rizespor2:2
- 12.09away · Alanyaspor2:2
- 07.09Gaziantep FK2:4
- 29.08away · Galatasaray2:3
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Kocaelispor — Göztepe1:1
- 23.11.2025Göztepe — Kocaelispor0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
Super Lig on the same day
- 4130281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 6521141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 34% will not happen in roughly 66 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →