Turkish Super Lig, round 8 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Başakşehir — Gaziantep FK

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Model prediction for 18 October

Başakşehir61%
Draw22%
Gaziantep FK17%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Başakşehir are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Başakşehir are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Başakşehir — No. 11, 8 pts; Gaziantep FK — No. 12, 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Başakşehir 4 wins, Gaziantep FK 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Başakşehir — Gaziantep FK What is xG?2.0–1.0
Başakşehir not to lose83%
Gaziantep FK not to lose39%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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Form

Başakşehir

  • 11.10away · Konyaspor0:0
  • 19.09Gençlerbirliği4:0
  • 13.09away · Amed Sportif0:5
  • 04.09Galatasaray2:3
  • 30.08Kasımpaşa1:1

Gaziantep FK

  • 11.10Çorum FK0:3
  • 19.09away · Kocaelispor0:2
  • 14.09Fenerbahçe0:0
  • 07.09away · Göztepe4:2
  • 29.08Rizespor1:2

Head to head

  • 16.05.2026Gaziantep FK — Başakşehir1:2
  • 22.12.2025Başakşehir — Gaziantep FK5:1
  • 20.04.2025Başakşehir — Gaziantep FK2:1
  • 23.11.2024Gaziantep FK — Başakşehir3:0
  • 24.02.2024Gaziantep FK — Başakşehir0:2

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10Rizespor73137–9-210
11Başakşehir722310–11-18
12Gaziantep FK72237–10-38
13Gençlerbirliği72237–15-88

Season 2026/27

Full table

Super Lig on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →