Uzbekistan Super League, round 26 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Kokand 1912 — Qizilqum Zarafshon
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kokand 1912 are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kokand 1912 — Qizilqum Zarafshon What is xG? | 1.1–0.8 | |
| Kokand 1912 not to lose | 72% | |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 30% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 70% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kokand 1912
- Kokand 1912 goals
- Qizilqum Zarafshon goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Mashal Muborak3:0
- 20.09away · Surkhon-20110:1
- 10.09away · Andijon1:2
- 05.09Dinamo Samarkand1:1
- 24.08Buxoro1:1
- 10.10Surkhon-20110:0
- 21.09away · Xorazm3:1
- 10.09away · Dinamo Samarkand0:1
- 05.09Buxoro3:2
- 26.08Nasaf Qarshi1:0
Head to head
- 24.04.2026Qizilqum Zarafshon — Kokand 19122:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Andijon | 23 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 23 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 23 | 8 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 23 | 7 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | -14 | 22 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- SogdianaBuxoropreliminary3425402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:24.0
- XorazmPakhtakor Tashkentpreliminary1824582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →