Belgian Pro League, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
KV Mechelen — Genk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: KV Mechelen 32%, Genk 39%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Genk are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: KV Mechelen — No. 14, 6 pts; Genk — No. 7, 12 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: KV Mechelen 1 win, Genk 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: KV Mechelen — Genk What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| KV Mechelen not to lose | 61% | |
| Genk not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap KV Mechelen
- KV Mechelen goals
- Genk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10St.Truiden4:3
- 19.09away · Lommel0:0
- 11.09Anderlecht0:1
- 05.09Westerlo0:4
- 29.08away · RAAL La Louvière2:2
- 10.10Kortrijk3:0
- 20.09away · Club Brugge0:3
- 13.09Gent1:1
- 06.09away · Anderlecht0:0
- 28.08SK Beveren4:0
Head to head
- 13.02.2026KV Mechelen — Genk2:3
- 23.11.2025Genk — KV Mechelen0:1
- 18.01.2025KV Mechelen — Genk1:2
- 28.09.2024Genk — KV Mechelen2:1
- 11.02.2024KV Mechelen — Genk1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Westerlo | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 | Royal Antwerp | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- Standard LiègeKortrijkpreliminary6024151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- AnderlechtWesterlopreliminary5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- SK BeverenUnion St.Gilloisepreliminary1121682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →