Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
LA Galaxy — San Diego FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: LA Galaxy 39%, San Diego FC 34%, draw 27%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 72%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LA Galaxy — San Diego FC What is xG? | 1.9–1.7 | |
| LA Galaxy not to lose | 66% | |
| San Diego FC not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 28% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap LA Galaxy
- LA Galaxy goals
- San Diego FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · St. Louis City2:6
- 27.09Colorado Rapids3:2
- 20.09away · Minnesota United3:2
- 13.09Seattle Sounders FC1:1
- 10.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps0:3
- 11.10away · Red Bull New York1:4
- 27.09away · Austin FC3:3
- 21.09away · Inter Miami CF2:2
- 14.09Philadelphia Union0:5
- 10.09San Jose Earthquakes2:3
Head to head
- 30.08.2026San Diego FC — LA Galaxy3:1
- 24.05.2025San Diego FC — LA Galaxy2:1
- 24.02.2025LA Galaxy — San Diego FC0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
| 18, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Red Bull New York | 28 | 10 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- 2625482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.6
- 1524612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →