South African Premiership · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Lamontville Golden Arrows — Milford FC

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Model prediction for 17 October

Lamontville Golden Arrows40%
Draw32%
Milford FC27%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Lamontville Golden Arrows are slightly stronger: 40% against 27%, draw 32%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Lamontville Golden Arrows — No. 8, 8 pts; Milford FC — No. 5, 12 pts. A gap of 4 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lamontville Golden Arrows — Milford FC What is xG?1.2–0.9
Lamontville Golden Arrows not to lose73%
Milford FC not to lose60%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes44%
Both teams to score: no56%
Total over 2.533%
Total under 2.567%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Lamontville Golden Arrows
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  • Milford FC goals
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Form

Lamontville Golden Arrows

  • 20.09Kaizer Chiefs0:0
  • 13.09away · Siwelele1:1
  • 06.09Mamelodi Sundowns FC1:2
  • 26.08Stellenbosch FC1:0
  • 16.08away · TS Galaxy0:0

Milford FC

  • 20.09Durban City1:1
  • 13.09Richards Bay5:1
  • 05.09away · Chippa United0:0
  • 02.09away · Mamelodi Sundowns FC0:2
  • 26.08away · Polokwane City0:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Kaizer Chiefs835013–8+514
5Milford FC83329–7+212
6Sekhukhune United73227–7011
7Stellenbosch FC82429–8+110
8Lamontville Golden Arrows71513–308
9Chippa United71514–6-28

Season 2026/27

Full table

SA Premiership on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →