Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Lanús — Gimnasia Mendoza

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Model prediction for 2 November

Lanús60%
Draw24%
Gimnasia Mendoza16%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lanús are clear favourites: 60% against 16% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 43%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Lanús are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lanús — Gimnasia Mendoza What is xG?1.6–0.7
Lanús not to lose84%
Gimnasia Mendoza not to lose40%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes43%
Both teams to score: no57%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Lanús
  • Lanús goals
  • Gimnasia Mendoza goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Lanús

  • 12.10Vélez Sarsfield2:0
  • 03.10away · Newell's Old Boys0:0
  • 22.09Estudiantes2:1
  • 15.09away · Deportivo Riestra3:0
  • 06.09Defensa y Justicia1:0

Gimnasia Mendoza

  • 13.10Newell's Old Boys1:0
  • 06.10away · Estudiantes0:3
  • 19.09Deportivo Riestra0:0
  • 12.09away · Defensa y Justicia0:2
  • 05.09Boca Juniors2:2

Head to head

  • 21.04.2026Gimnasia Mendoza — Lanús1:0

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →